Leave the volatility fund alone: Principles for managing oil wealth

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Wealth and Volatility

Figure 1 documents a strong negative relation in the United States between wealth (household net worth, from the Federal Reserve Flow of Funds, as a fraction of GDP) and aggregate volatility, measured as standard deviation of real GDP growth rate. Periods when net worth is high, reflecting high prices for housing and/or stocks, tend to be periods of low volatility in aggregate output, employmen...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Macroeconomics

سال: 2018

ISSN: 0164-0704

DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2017.12.002